06/20/2018 01:01 PM EDT
Ojeda, a state senator and veteran, has 43 percent support to Republican Carol Miller’s 41 percent among “all potential voters” (voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or are newly registered). The Democrat has a wider lead in two likely voter models. Ojeda leads Miller, the state House majority whip, 47 percent to 41 percent using a “historical midterm turnout” model and 48 percent to 39 percent in a “Democratic surge” model.
President Donald Trump is widely favored in the district, with two-thirds of voters in the district approving of his job performance and 49 percent saying they strongly approve.
Ojeda, who has said he voted for Trump in 2016, has a slight lead in favorability with a third of voters viewing him positively, while 27 percent view Miller favorably. But neither candidate is known to about half the electorate.
Monmouth University surveyed 428 voters in the district from June 14-19. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.7 percentage points for the full sample and 5.3 points for the likely voter models.”